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| vaguerret | Дата: Вторник, 16.07.2013, 22:53 | Сообщение # 440 |
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| rujdsz5k | Дата: Вторник, 16.07.2013, 23:40 | Сообщение # 441 |
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| cyncstairty | Дата: Среда, 17.07.2013, 03:23 | Сообщение # 443 |
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| balfoffetty | Дата: Среда, 17.07.2013, 14:59 | Сообщение # 445 |
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Scaling Out Of Downtrending Swing Trades: A Tighter 2-Step Exit Plan
In the first article, we looked at both 4- and 8-day support levels as exit signals. To extend that trading strategy, we now look at the special case where a swing trade is starting to exhibit signs of a downtrend, as defined by lower price action compared to a prior day. The goal is to start tightening in trailing stops to lock in gains at the first sign of a trend reversal.
In Figure 1 Calpine Corp. (CPN), we see that a downtrend has started to form midday (lower lows, lower highs for the current plus prior day鈥檚 price action trend). To exit, we scale out of half the trade if price action gets .35 cents under the cumulative 2-day low (current plus one prior day). For this CPN chart, that would be at (21.5 - .35) = 21.15 as the first scale-out exit. The secondary entry is to be set at a maximum of 1 full point under the cumulative 2-day low, in this case (21.5 鈥?1.0) = 20.5 for the second, final exit.
Traders often needlessly wait for extremely large drops before scaling out of open winning swing trades, with exits far too low, to lock in significant potential profits. It鈥檚 a smart idea to test out various exit signals like those discussed, to start scaling out of open winning swing trades at the first sign of trouble, as illustrated in this chart, with a .35 below 2-day low exit to start exiting the position.
A good breakout trader always thinks to themselves 鈥淚 can start closing out a winning trade here since it鈥檚 dropping, however I can always re-enter at new highs later, if it takes them out鈥? This thinking can help traders gain a more focused edge in their trading, without sacrificing open unrealized profits in their positions as the primary objective.
Swingtrading Exits: Head and Shoulders Breakdown Exits
It鈥檚 wise to become familiar with all bearish reversal patterns, such as head an shoulder patterns, and use these to help develop a 2-step scaling out of open winning swing trading plan as well. In Figure 2 Zale Corp. (ZLC) there鈥檚 an obvious head-and-shoulders pattern occurring on June 17th and 18th, 2013 on this 15-day candlestick chart. While not a sign to exit immediately, a protective stop can be placed at (9.2 - .35) = 8.85 on an open swing trade, in case it does attract sellers, and the price action drops.
Similarly, a 1 point trailing stop under the 2 day low yields a final exit signal at (9.2 鈥?1) = 8.2 for any remaining open long http://www.agoshow.net/Rangers-32-Josh-Hamilton-Red-2010-All-Star-Jerseys-58/ - Rangers 32 Josh Hamilton Red 2010 All Star Jerseys shares in a swing trade. This 2-step process (.35 under 2-day low for exiting half a swing trade, and 1.0 point under 2-day low for exiting the remaining half of a swing trade) is used whenever there鈥檚 a bearish signal, like a downtrend or head-and-shoulders pattern.
Similar exits can be used with candlestick chart patterns such as shooting stars and bearish engulfing patterns at the first sign of weakness in the underlying price action of what鈥檚 being traded. We鈥檒l look at candlestick chart patterns with 2-exit trading strategies in a subsequent article.
Recognizing the Difference Between Trend Reversals vs Minor Pullbacks
A favorite saying of experienced professional traders is 鈥渨hen in doubt, get out鈥? When it comes to trying to decide about exits, and whether or not a trend has reversed or is simply chopping around in a minor pullback, it鈥檚 important to decide to exit sooner rather than later. Solid uptrends are generally strong from the start and continue for a healthy distance. Anything less than the best strong trending charts is likely to cause trouble and not be worth trading.
Using this 2-day 鈥渋n vs out鈥?process helps give traders a key decision-making process to use as part of their overall trade management plan. Buying new 2-day highs, and selling 2-day lows (meaning today plus one prior day, not two days prior to today), is a core professional trading strategy worth testing out.
Ken Calhoun is a trading professional who has traded millions of dollars of equities since the 1990s, and is the producer of multiple award-winning trading courses and video-based training systems for active traders. He is a UCLA alumnus and is the founder of and , popular online educational sites that reach tens of thousands of active traders worldwide. ###
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| Porwayday | Дата: Среда, 17.07.2013, 19:26 | Сообщение # 447 |
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| crazywmunor | Дата: Среда, 17.07.2013, 20:03 | Сообщение # 448 |
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| xiaoliajn | Дата: Среда, 17.07.2013, 20:51 | Сообщение # 449 |
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